WEATHER

Welcome to our weather page, with information kindly provided by the Bureau of Meteorology.

The weather page was updated on 7 June, however for up-to-the-minute weather reporting and forecasting, please go to www.bom.gov.au  or download the BOM weather app.





El Niño WATCH activated; 50% chance of El Niño in spring 2018

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, however, recent model forecasts and observations show an increased likelihood of El Niño this spring. The Bureau's ENSO Outlook status has moved to El Niño WATCH. El Niño WATCH means that the chances of El Niño forming in 2018 is approximately 50%.

Sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean have been slowly warming since April. Waters beneath the surface of the tropical Pacific are now warmer than average—a common precursor to El Niño. Five of the eight international climate models surveyed by the Bureau predict that ocean temperatures are likely to reach El Niño thresholds in spring, while a sixth model falls just short. El Niño during spring often means below average rainfall for Victoria, while a neutral ENSO phase (neither El Niño nor La Niña) has little effect on rainfall.

See the ENSO Wrap-Up for more details.



The Introduction to Climate course provides expert insight into the fundamentals of climate services, which will allow more informed decisions at seasonal timescales and beyond. It’s delivered by professional trainers from the Bureau of Meteorology—giving you specialised information direct from the source.

Introduction to Climate is a highly informative one-day course that provides an overview of the drivers of climate. Course content is relevant to government and private organisations, as well as individuals who use climate information to manage risk and make critical decisions. The course is also relevant to anyone with an interest in the climate and climate services.

29 June 2018, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins St, Docklands. Cost $660 (including GST)

Mick Pope (Course Manager) | Telephone 03 9669 4204 | Email i2c@bom.gov.au  

July to September likely to be warm and dry

The first look July to September outlook, released 14 June, favours a drier than average three months for most of Victoria. In the far southwest and southeast of the State, there's roughly equal chances for above or below average rainfall. However, chances for below average rainfall increase towards the north. Locations along the Murray, from Wodonga to Swan Hill, have a greater than 3 in 4 chance of a drier three months.



Maximum temperatures for July to September are very likely to be warmer than usual. Chances for warmer than average days are greater than 80% for most of the State. Minimum temperatures are also likely to be warmer than average, with chances greater than 80% in the east and southwest. Higher than average pressure to the south of Australia is likely to persist from July to September, resulting in weaker westerlies and therefore fewer cold fronts from the Southern Ocean affecting the southeast of the country.

See the Climate outlooks for more details.

Laverton radar upgrade

The Bureau of Meteorology is refurbishing key components of the Laverton Radar in early April, to complete a mid-life upgrade that will extend the life of the radar by another 10 years. For current weather and three-hour forecasts go to MetEye . The nearby Broadmeadows Radar will be available and should be used in combination with the Bureau's Satellite Viewer cloud and lightning images. We expect to have the radar back on line mid-April. 

Getting into the flow of BOM Webinars

The Bureau of Meteorology is pleased to present free BOM Webinars delivered by water, weather, climate and ocean experts. Two water related webinars took place early June and two more are happening soon.

Register now and you can join us at the time and ask questions, otherwise we will email you a link to the recording after the webinar.

If you would like to be kept informed about BOM Webinars, subscribe to the mailing list or visit the webinar home page for a list of upcoming events.

Upcoming BOM Webinars

 Get near real-time soil moisture estimates for your location or catchment
When: Wednesday, 20 June 2018 I 11.00 am – 12 pm AEST

Discuss how to obtain modelled data on soil moisture, runoff, evapotranspiration, deep drainage and precipitation 

  
 Making groundwater visible
When: Thursday 28 June 2018 I 2.00 pm – 3.00 pm AEST

Learn how to access comprehensive, nationally consistent groundwater information from across Australia

       

ICYMI

On 7 June 2018, over 200 attendees dialled in for the first webinar in the BOM Webinar series. Accounting for Australia's water resources examined how to measure, monitor and account for water stores and flows, water rights and water use.

The second webinar on 13 June 2018, Water forecasting, showcased the short and long term water forecasting products the Bureau offers.

If you want to watch a recording of these webinars or receive the presentations, contact communication@bom.gov.au

Get social with us on LinkedIn by including #BOMWebinars in your posts.