Warmer than average summer likely
The summer (December to February) temperature outlooks for Victoria, released 29 November, show it is likely to be warmer than average in the season ahead. Both daytime and overnight temperatures are likely to be warmer than average.
The rainfall outlooks for December, January and summer (December to February) for Victoria are neutral, showing no strong push towards wetter or drier than average conditions in the months and season ahead.
There is a 70% chance of El Niño during summer. However, El Niño typically has a weaker rainfall influence over southeast Australia during summer than it does in winter and spring. The current positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has contributed to the recent dry conditions in southeast Australia, but models expect the positive IOD will decay by early summer. Australia's climate is also influenced by the long-term trend in increasing global atmospheric and ocean temperatures.
See all the details in our Climate Outlooks and ENSO Wrap-Up, and make sure to check out the outlook video.
Bureau of Meteorology Webinars
The Bureau invites you to join us for two upcoming webinars.
Groundwater Dependent Ecosystems
Tuesday, 20 November 2018,
11.00 am – 12.00 pm AEDST
In this webinar, we will showcase the Groundwater Dependant Ecosystems (GDE) Atlas and how you can use it to consider these ecosystems in your decision making. The GDE Atlas is Australia's only national dataset of groundwater dependent ecosystems. This data is essential to consider the potential impacts of development, for example mining and pumping, on GDEs in water management plans and environmental impact assessments.
Summer 2018-19 climate and water update
Thursday, December 6, 2018
11.00 am – 12.00 pm AEDST
Join us for an update on Australia's recent conditions, the status of our climate drivers, and guidance on rainfall, temperature and streamflow for the coming months.
Please register via the BOM Webinars page at http://www.bom.gov.au/webinars