Dry spring likely for Victoria
The first look climate outlook for spring, issued Thursday 16 August, shows Victoria is likely to have a drier than average season. The chance of below average rainfall is greater than 80% in parts of the southwest, reducing to around 60% in the far east.
Warmer than average maximum temperatures are likely to continue into spring in most parts except the southwest coast where chances are close to 50:50. Night-time temperatures are likely to be warmer than average in the east while central and western parts have a roughly equal chance of warmer or cooler than average minimum temperatures.
The dry and warm outlook is being driven in part by our major climate drivers; the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).