WEATHER

Welcome to our weather page, with information kindly provided by the Bureau of Meteorology.

The weather page was updated on 17 August, however for up-to-the-minute weather reporting and forecasting, please go to www.bom.gov.au  or download the BOM weather app.

Dry spring likely for Victoria

The first look climate outlook for spring, issued Thursday 16 August, shows Victoria is likely to have a drier than average season. The chance of below average rainfall is greater than 80% in parts of the southwest, reducing to around 60% in the far east.



Warmer than average maximum temperatures are likely to continue into spring in most parts except the southwest coast where chances are close to 50:50. Night-time temperatures are likely to be warmer than average in the east while central and western parts have a roughly equal chance of warmer or cooler than average minimum temperatures. 



The dry and warm outlook is being driven in part by our major climate drivers; the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).

El Niño remains possible in 2018

ENSO is currently neutralneither El Niño or La Niña. While the tropical Pacific Ocean has cooled in the past month, most international climate models forecast warming to resume in the coming weeks, with El Niño development possible in spring. Therefore, the Bureau's ENSO Outlook remains at El Niño WATCH. El Niño WATCH means there is approximately a 50% chance of El Niño forming in 2018; double the normal chance.

 

For Victoria, El Niño during spring typically means below average rainfall and above average daytime temperatures. Similarly, the IOD is currently neutral but forecasts suggest a brief positive IOD event may form during spring. A positive IOD during spring typically reduces Victorian rainfall and can exacerbate any El Niño driven rainfall deficiencies.

See the Climate Outlooks and ENSO Wrap-Up for more details.

 

Model soil moisture in the Australian Landscape Water Balance

27/7/2018
The Australian Landscape Water Balance is an interactive website which provides Australia-wide information on key landscape water balance components including soil moisture, runoff, evapotranspiration, deep drainage and precipitation in near real time. Information can be visualised, investigated and downloaded at the continent, catchment and point scale with daily updates. You can get estimates of the current and historical state of the key landscape water balance components, as well as the movement of water through the landscape. The information is available at a daily, monthly and annual time step from 1911 onwards, providing timely information for better water related decision making.

The current month-to-date root zone soil moisture map shows soil moisture is below average for much of the State, except in the southwest, and very much below average (in the bottom 10% of historic records) in large parts of the east.
Go to the Australian Landscape Water Balance website.

Laverton radar upgrade

The Bureau of Meteorology is refurbishing key components of the Laverton Radar in early April, to complete a mid-life upgrade that will extend the life of the radar by another 10 years. For current weather and three-hour forecasts go to MetEye . The nearby Broadmeadows Radar will be available and should be used in combination with the Bureau's Satellite Viewer cloud and lightning images. We expect to have the radar back on line mid-April.